Saturday 9 February, kick-off 5.30pm
Amex Stadium – Premier League
There’s only three points separating these two sides coming into a crucial Brighton vs Burnley prediction this weekend. Saturday evening’s televised live game could see the Seagulls drawn back into the relegation battle if they lose to Sean Dyche’s side in this Premier League preview.
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This fixture has been short on goals in recent meetings. There’s only been the one in the last three games between Brighton and Burnley. An under 2.5 goals bet here is 4/6 with Betfair, while you can add the draw to that for 13/5 with the same bookmaker. If you’re looking for a correct score in your free betting tips and predictions, we fancy the 1-1 draw at 11/2.
Draw and under 2.5 goals
Glenn Murray has hit a bit of a dry patch at the Amex. After scoring seven goals in his first seven Premier League games at home this season, the striker has failed to hit the back of the net in his last five. Murray has four goals in his last two games, so that’s likely to change sooner rather than later. He is 15/4 with bet365 to score first on Saturday, 11/8 with the same bookie anytime, and 30/1 to strike first in a 1-1 draw.
Glenn Murray to score first
Burnley are on a good run at the moment, and put in an excellent display against Manchester United in their last away game. If they reproduce the same performance levels on Saturday, they’ll have a great chance of heading back to Lancashire with all three points. The Clarets are 11/2 with bet365 to win to nil, and 9/1 with the same bookmaker in your weekend football predictions to repeat their 1-0 victory over Brighton from earlier this season. With Ashley Barnes getting the goal, those odds rise to 35/1.
Burnley to win 1-0
What’s the story with Brighton vs Burnley?
Is Brighton vs Burnley on TV? Yes, it’s being shown live on BT Sport.
What happened last time? James Tarkowski scored the only goal of the game as Burnley won a tight game at Turf Moor in December.
What are the Brighton vs Burnley odds? Brighton are the 21/10 favourites in your Premier League predictions, while Burnley are 16/5 and the draw is 23/10. All of those football betting odds are available with bet365, who are offering new customers up to £100 in free bets when you sign up here.
Remember that time…there was goals? The last three meetings between the sides have only seen one goal, but there was four in their last Championship meeting. It was at the Amex in April 2016, with Michael Keane scoring a 93rd-minute equaliser for Burnley as the teams drew 2-2.
Team news and form
Last six: LLDLDW
Dale Stephens is a doubt for these Brighton vs Watford predictions due to soreness in his hip. He faces a late fitness test along with Jose Izquierdo, who’s been recovering from a knee injury. Goalkeeper Jason Steele is the only other player Seagulls boss Chris Hughton is missing this weekend. We’re likely to see a number of changes from the Brighton team that beat West Brom in extra-time of their FA Cup replay on Wednesday.
Last six: WWDLDD
Matthew Lowton could return from a toe injury in this game, and will be given every chance to do so. Steven Defour is also struggling with a calf strain and expected to miss out. Aaron Lennon and Jonathan Walters are both long-term absentees for the Clarets. Lennon is recovering from knee surgery, while Walters suffered a partial Achilles rupture in September.
Brighton vs Burnley prediction, preview and betting tips
If past meetings are anything to go by, this game looks set to be a tight, low-scoring affair. There’s only been one goal in three Premier League meetings between the sides, after both fixtures last season ended goalless. Burnley are unbeaten in their last six against Brighton, although five of those games ended all square. We could be on for the same result in these football predictions, in front of the live TV cameras.
Brighton have failed to win any of their last five Premier League fixtures. That run has seen them dragged back towards the relegation battle, following an excellent start to the season. The Seagulls have shared a pair of goalless draws with Watford and West Brom in their last two home games, although they were victorious at the Hawthorns in the FA Cup in midweek.
The extra fixture won’t help Chris Hughton’s preparations for this Brighton v Burnley prediction, against a Clarets side who are undefeated in their last six in the Premier League. Sean Dyche’s side have won three of those, as part of the second-longest unbeaten run in the division, behind only Manchester United.
Burnley look like they’re back in the shape that took them into Europe last season. They’re still only two points clear of the drop zone, but they’re level with Southampton and Newcastle United. If everything goes their way this weekend, the Clarets could draw level on points with 13th-placed Brighton, and find themselves five clear of Cardiff City in 18th.
There’s no doubt Burnley are in the better form, but Brighton hold home advantage. That’s why we’re backing a draw at 23/10 in your Brighton vs Burnley betting tips. There isn’t much between the sides, with draw/draw priced at 18/5 with 888sport in the half-time/full-time market. After a pair of goalless draws last season, the same here is 7/1 in your football score predictions.
Brighton vs Burnley first goalscorer predictions
Burnley striker Chris Wood has five goals in his last eight league starts against Brighton. He has four in his last eight in all competitions, and is 8/1 to open the scoring on Saturday. Brighton centre-back Shane Duffy meanwhile is his team’s second-highest scorer after Glenn Murray. He could be worth a look as an outside bet in the first goalscorer odds, priced at 20/1.
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Oli is a passionate football man, who despite being the wrong side of 30, still turns out every week for his beloved Trafford United. Also a Manchester United supporter, Oli is an experienced writer with a strong background in the sports betting market.