Saturday 16 February, kick-off 12.30pm
Amex Stadium – FA Cup
This FA Cup preview sees Frank Lampard bring his exciting Derby County to the Amex Stadium to face Brighton. The Premier League outfit have suffered a serious dip in form recently, and needed a reply in the last round of the cup against Championship opposition.
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Two of Brighton’s three FA Cup games this season have seen four goals. It’s the same for Derby, who were 2-2 after 90 minutes home and away against Southampton. The Rams also scored twice at both Old Trafford and Stamford Bridge in the Carabao Cup. That’s why we’re backing both teams to score at 10/11 in your free betting tips and predictions. We’re tipping the visitors to win, so you can add them to that bet for 17/2 with bet365. A 2-1 Derby victory is 14/1 with the same bookmaker.
Derby to win and both teams to score
Glenn Murray has been one of the standout performers in the Premier League this season. Whether he starts will show how serious Brighton are taking this cup tie. The veteran striker scored on his last appearance against Derby, and is 8/7 to do so again in your weekend football predictions. Those odds rise to 7/2 with bet365 if it’s the first goal of the game, while Murray is 100/1 to score first with Brighton going on to lose 2-1.
Glenn Murray to score first
Brighton have won two of their three FA Cup ties so far 3-1, even if last week’s victory over West Bromwich Albion was settled in extra-time. The Seagulls are 14/1 with William Hill to win this game 3-1 in your football score predictions, rising to 55/1 with Murray scoring the first goal. If you want a bet with a bit less risk, you could back Brighton to win by two goals at 4/1.
Brighton to win 3-1
What’s the story with Brighton vs Derby?
Is Brighton vs Derby on TV? Yes, it’s being shown live on BT Sport.
What happened last time? These teams last met in the Championship in March 2017. Anthony Knockaert, Sam Baldock and Glenn Murray scored for Brighton as the Seagulls won 3-0 at the Amex Stadium.
What are the Brighton vs Derby odds? Brighton are 5/6 favourites in your FA Cup predictions, while visitors Derby are 15/4. The draw’s 13/5 with William Hill, where you can claim £30 in free bets when you sign up here.
Remember that time…Derby beat Brighton five times in a row? The Rams had the upper hand over the Seagulls between August 2013 and December 2014, with a pair of 2-1 wins on the south coast in that run.
Team news and form
Last six: LDLDWL
Florin Andone is banned for these Brighton vs Derby predictions, after he was found guilty of violent conduct in last week’s FA Cup replay at West Brom. Jose Izquierdo is nearing a return from a knee injury, although this game could come too soon for the Colombian. Solomon March is a doubt after hurting his ankle in Brighton’s defeat against Burnley at the weekend. Chris Hughton could make a number of changes with his team sliding towards the Premier League relegation zone.
Last six: DWWDWD
Experienced goalkeeper Scott Carson is a doubt for this game, after missing Derby’s last six matches through injury. Kelle Roos has been doing well in his absence, keeping three clean sheets with Derby unbeaten. Mason Mount is out of Saturday’s match with a hamstring injury, while defenders Curtis Davies, Marcus Olsson and Craig Forsyth are all out. Jack Marriott is back in training and could feature, while Ashley Cole could be in line for his first FA Cup appearance since 2014.
Brighton vs Derby prediction, preview and betting tips
Brighton come into this game unbeaten in their last five matches against Derby. However, three of the last four have finished as draws and the Rams have impressed in the cups this season. The Seagulls are also out of form in the league, and back in the relegation battle.
Chris Hughton’s side have failed to win any of their last six Premier League fixtures. They went down 3-1 at home to Burnley at the weekend, with that defeat leaving them three just points above the drop zone. The Brighton boss has a decision to make whether he prioritises the chance to reach the FA Cup quarter-finals over handing some of his key players a rest.
The Seagulls certainly looked up for the cup last week, although they needed extra-time to overcome West Brom at the Hawthorns after being taken to a replay following a goalless draw on home soil first time round. Brighton were beaten by Manchester United at the quarter-final stage last season, although there’s only likely to be two members of the Premier League ‘big six’ left in the hat after this weekend’s action.
This Brighton v Derby prediction also presents the same opportunity for the away side, who knocked Man United out of the Carabao Cup at Old Trafford earlier this season. The Rams were victorious on penalties in that game, and also knocked Southampton out of the FA Cup on pens. Derby are 12/1 to triumph via a shootout here. A 2-2 draw after 90 minutes meanwhile is priced at 14/1.
Frank Lampard has got his team playing some lovely football. That’s seen him linked with taking over at Chelsea, with Derby right in the hunt for promotion from the Championship. The visitors have nothing to lose in this game, and that could make them dangerous. Especially with a four-time FA Cup winner in the dugout.
Although their midweek game at Ipswich may affect their preparations, Derby are unbeaten in their last six games, winning four. The away team’s current form, vibrant football and strong cup performances this season is why we’re backing them in our Brighton vs Derby betting tips, at 15/4. You can stretch those odds to 9/2 with Betfair if you add under 3.5 goals to the away win.
Brighton vs Derby first goalscorer predictions
Harry Wilson is having an excellent season on loan at Derby from Liverpool. The 21-year-old is his team’s top scorer in the Championship, and has 12 goals so far in all competitions. He is 12/1 to add to his tally with the opener on Saturday. Shane Duffy’s consolation against Burnley last weekend was his fifth goal of the season. The centre-back is a real threat in the air, and could be worth a punt at 20/1 in the first goalscorer odds.
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A Wolves fan born in Northern Ireland, Harry has been writing about football and the sports betting market for a number of years. When he’s not going to Molineux or discussing the latest football betting odds with Tom and Dick, you’ll probably find Harry out on the tennis courts – as long as the sun is shining, of course.