Burnley vs Arsenal Prediction

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Burnley vs Arsenal prediction
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang comes into this Burnley vs Arsenal prediction on the back of a midweek Europa League hat-trick. Credit: Reuters

Sunday 12 May, kick-off 3pm

Turf Moor – Premier League

Europa League finalists Arsenal head to Turf Moor to play Burnley in this final Premier League preview of the season. The Gunners put in an excellent performance to see off Valenica on Thursday, but will that give the Clarets a chance to record a long-awaiting victory over the north London outfit? 

What’s the story with Burnley vs Arsenal?

Is Burnley vs Arsenal on TV? Unfortunately, the game’s not on TV in the UK. 

What happened last time? Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored a brace to put Arsenal in control when the teams met at the Emirates in December. Ashley Barnes pulled one back for Burnley but Alex Iwobi sealed a 3-1 win for the Gunners in injury time at the end of the game. 

What are the Burnley vs Arsenal odds? Burnley are 9/5 in your Premier League predictions this weekend, while Arsenal are 6/5 and the draw is 14/5. All those football betting odds are with bet365, who are offering up to £100 in free bets when you register here. 

Remember that time…Burnley last beat Arsenal in the league? There’s a good chance you don’t as it was almost 45 years ago, as the Clarets won 1-0 at Highbury. The same result in favour of Burnley on Sunday is priced at 14/1 in your football score predictions.

Team news and form

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Last six: WWWDLL

Clarets manager Sean Dyche is set to be missing three players for these Burnley v Arsenal predictions. Robbie Brady and Steven Defour have all been ruled out through injury, while it doesn’t look like Aaron Lennon will make it. Phil Bardsley could be available though for this final game of the season. 

ArsenalArsenal crest

Last six: LLLWDW

Unai Emery raises his opposing manager two injuries for these weekend football predictions, as the Arsenal boss has five players out. Aaron Ramsey has played his last game for the Gunners ahead of his move to Juventus, while the disappointing Denis Suarez is done at the Emirates too. Hector Bellerin, Rob Holding and Danny Welbeck are all long-term absentees. With Thursday’s exertions in mind, Emery could make a few changes to his line-up here.

Burnley vs Arsenal prediction, preview and betting tips

Arsenal booked their place in the Europa League final in style on Thursday night, sweeping Valencia aside with a 4-2 win at the Mestalla. They play London rivals Chelsea in the Baku showpiece of a competition that wreaked havoc with the first half of Burnley’s season. The Clarets recovered from their European misadventure to seal their seal Premier League survival long before these football predictions take place. 

Dyche’s side are nine points clear of the relegation zone heading into this Burnley v Arsenal prediction. They start 15th in the table, while they’re able to climb or fall one place this weekend. After three wins in a row and an excellent draw away to Chelsea, the Clarets have lost back-to-back games against Manchester City and Everton. They were both tough though, with last weekend’s defeat away from home. 

Burnley have registered 61% of their goals at home in the first half of their Premier League fixtures this season. Arsenal meanwhile conceded early against Valencia on Thursday for the second time in their two-legged semi-final, before coming back to win. The Gunners are 10/1 with Betfair to win from behind in your free betting tips and predictions, while Burnley/Arsenal is 22/1 in the half-time/full-time market. Draw/Arsenal is 5/1. 

The Gunners have won all of the last nine meetings between the teams, with three of those at Turf Moor. They’ve scored 21 goals in that period, while the Clarets have only managed four. The only Premier League fixture between the sides Arsenal failed to win was their first meeting, a 1-1 draw at Turf Moor back in 2009. Arsenal haven’t won any of their last four Premier League fixtures, losing three, but they have a great record against Burnley. 

The Gunners thrashed the Clarets 5-0 last May, and won 3-1 at the Emirates earlier this term. Although their last three away wins against Burnley were all 1-0, the Clarets have been playing well recently and scoring more goals. What’s more, Arsenal have only kept one clean sheet away from home all season in the Premier League. 

That’s why we’re backing both teams to score odds at 8/15, while the visitors are 6/5 to win. You can combine those two bets for odds of 11/4 in your Burnley vs Arsenal betting tips. We’re going for a 2-1 away win which is priced at 9/1 in your football score predictions. If you add Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to that as the first scorer, the odds rise to 40/1. 

Burnley vs Arsenal first goalscorer predictions

Aubameyang has played against Burnley twice, and scored twice each time. That includes the opening goal on each occasion. He is the 4/1 favourite with Betway to break the deadlock on Sunday. The Gabon striker was superb against Valencia on Thursday, tucking away an excellent hat-trick in Spain. Four of the 13 hat-tricks on the final day of the Premier League season have been scored by an Arsenal player, with Aubameyang at 33/1 to follow in the footsteps of Freddie Ljungberg, Thierry Henry, Theo Walcott and Olivier Giroud by netting a second treble in a week. 

If you want to back a Burnley player in the first goalscorer odds, Ashley Barnes looks a likely candidate at 6/1. One of his 11 Premier League goals this season came at the Emirates, while he’s Burnley’s top scorer. Barnes is 76/1 to strike first but still see his team lose 2-1. 

Score prediction: Burnley 1-2 Arsenal

Top tips

Arsenal to win


Arsenal to win and both teams to score


Arsenal to win from behind


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