Portugal vs Holland Prediction

Cristiano Ronaldo Portugal vs Holland prediction
Cristiano Ronaldo comes into this Portugal vs Holland prediction on the back of a stunning hat-trick against Switzerland that took his country to the UEFA Nations League final. Credit: AFP

Sunday 9 June, kick-off 7.45pm

Estadio Do Dragao – Nations League

Portugal and Holland go head-to-head in Porto on Sunday, as the two teams aim to become the champions of the inaugural Nations League. The Selecao das Quinas may boast home advantage in this Nations League final preview, but the Netherlands have plenty of quality in their side. 

What’s the story with Portugal vs Holland?

Is Portugal vs Holland on TV? Yes, it’s being shown live on Sky Sports.

What happened last time? Memphis Depay, Ryan Babel and Virgil van Dijk all scored in the first half as Holland beat Portugal 3-0 in March of last year. In-demand Matthijs de Ligt chalked up two assists in the friendly, which was played in Geneva. 

What are the Portugal vs Holland odds? Portugal are 6/4 to win in 90 minutes in your Nations League predictions, while Holland are 21/10 and the draw is 9/4. All those football betting odds are with Betfred, who are offering £30 in free bets when you sign up here. With extra-time and penalties potentially on the cards, Portugal are 3/4 to lift the trophy by any method, while the Netherlands are 11/10 for the same bet. 

Remember that time…Portugal beat Holland 2-1 in the group stage at Euro 2012? Rafael van der Vaart put the Oranje into the lead, but Cristiano Ronaldo scored twice as Portugal took the points to progress to the knockouts. You can find the odds on a repeat of that scoreline in our football score predictions below.

Team news and form

PortugalPortugal crest

Last six: WDDDDW

Veteran centre-back Pepe picked up an arm injury in the semi-finals and is a doubt for these Portugal v Holland predictions. Former Southampton defender Jose Fonte replaced Pepe on Wednesday and will step in again if needed. Ronaldo captains the team after his match-winning performance against Switzerland, while hot prospect Joao Felix will hope for another chance after an underwhelming international debut in the week. 

NetherlandsHolland crest

Last six: DWDWLW

Oranje boss Ronald Koeman could make the odd change to his team after seeing his players taken to extra-time by England. The Dutch also have a day less to recover and prepare than their opponents on Sunday. Quincy Promes was effective off the bench against England and could get the nod to start, while Ajax’s Donny van de Beek may also come into the XI. There’s little need to change anything in central defence, with Van Dijk and De Ligt forming an excellent partnership, despite the latter’s mistake on Thursday.

Portugal vs Holland prediction, preview and betting tips

Holland thought they were crashing out of the Nations League against England, only to be saved by a few millimetres and the intervention of VAR. For Portugal, they were spared going into extra-time themselves after Ronaldo’s brilliance shone through once again. With a player like that in their side, the home fans will fancy their chances in these football predictions. 

There can be few players in the history of the game who could be considered better big-game players than Ronaldo. The Portuguese maestro has stepped up on so many occasions, and did so yet again with an incredible hat-trick against Switzerland in the semi-finals. Portugal are looking for their second major trophy in three years after winning Euro 2016, while Ronaldo will be looking to make a mark on this final after going off injured in the first half in France three years ago. 

Holland meanwhile are aiming to lift only the second major title in their history, and the first since Euro 88. Koeman’s side survived a scare after looking like Jesse Lingard had scored a late winner against them in the semi. VAR spotted it was offside and the Netherlands scored twice in extra-time, punishing two awful English errors. 

The Oranje boast some players with huge potential coming into this Portugal v Holland prediction, but they aren’t the finished article by a long way. Very strong in central defence and central midfield, they don’t have any forwards capable of doing the things Ronaldo is capable of. This game could hinge on how the Portuguese captain fares against De Ligt and Van Dijk, and whether Holland’s forwards can create and convert chances beyond the slick passing in midfield. 

The Netherlands put three past Portugal last year, and they’ve scored 13 goals in their last five matches. That includes the semi-final against England, as well as a 2-0 victory over world champions France and two games against Germany, so it’s not been an easy run. Portugal meanwhile have home advantage and showed they’re capable of breaking with real pace and purpose on Wednesday. With that in mind, we like both teams to score predictions for this game at 17/20 with William Hill. 

Holland may be on the rise once again, but Portugal have more experience of games like this in recent years. We’re backing the host nation to come out on top at 6/4 in your Portugal vs Holland betting tips. With both teams scoring, those odds rise to 4/1. We’re going for a 2-1 Portugal win, which is priced at 17/2. If you want football tips with big odds, you can add Ronaldo as the first scorer for 34/1. 

Portugal vs Holland first goalscorer predictions

Ronaldo’s hat-trick against Switzerland was the 53rd treble in his career. An astonishing tally, he’s still one of the very best players in the world at the age of 34. He returned to the international fold with the intention of winning the inaugural Nations League, and is the 3/1 favourite with Betfred to make his mark on this final by breaking the deadlock. A sign of Ronaldo’s dominance in the first goalscorer odds is that Memphis Depay has the next lowest price at 6/1. Fancy Ronaldo for another hat-trick? That’s 28/1, while the Juventus forward is 235/1 to net all three of Portugal’s goals in a 3-1 win – just like he did against Switzerland in the semis. 

Score prediction: Portugal 2-1 Holland @ 17/2

Top tips

Portugal to win


Both teams to score


Cristiano Ronaldo to score first


Top punt

Ronaldo to score first and Portugal to win 2-1


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